» I urge you to be more disciplined next week ․ Trgran Avinyan

I urge you to be more disciplined next week ․ Trgran Avinyan

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Today, the Minister of Health Arsen Torosyan published a schedule showing the dynamics of the confirmed cases of coronavirus infection, where it seems that they have doubled in the last 7 days.

At the same time, it should be noted that when planning a policy to prevent the spread of the infection, we are most concerned with the temporal reproduction number (Rt) and the effective management of its value.

The coefficient indicates how many potentially infected people can be infected. The higher the ratio, the more people are infected. If the coefficient is not reduced, the spread of the infection is constantly developing at a higher rate. It is on this basis that the maintenance of social distance around the world and the restriction of interpersonal contact are considered to be important means of combating the spread of infection.

I am pleased to announce that due to the temporary restrictions on the right of individuals to move and economic activities since March 25, the intensity factor has been reduced from about 2 values ​​estimated a week before March 25 to 1.4.

In the coming weeks, our task should be to strictly follow the rules and restrictions of the state of emergency. We should try to reduce Rt as much as possible to less than 1. This will mean that the spread of coronavirus infection is manageable and the healthcare system will be able to effectively handle potentially serious cases. As a result, we will be able to gradually ease the limitations and gradually return to normal life.

So, dear compatriots, "I urge you once again to be more disciplined next week," so that you have a role to play in preventing the spread of the infection.